A brief chronology of UMNO-MCA breakup:
In GE12, BN suffers heavy defeats in Peninsular Malaysian votes.
Gerakan & MCA realise that they lost because of UMNO's arrogance
They try to speak up for some issues but are ignored
The MCA is left adrift until the party elections. OTK (Team A) is elected MCA President, CSL (TEAM B) is elected MCA Dep Prez.
OTK, as the MCA President, is traditionally appointed Transport Minister
PKFZ scandal explodes in OTK's face. OTK faces a choice - do the right thing and face the wrath of his bosses, or cover it up and kill off support for MCA faster. OTK promises to do the right thing. The voting public watches and waits.
Najib appoints CSL as BN Liaison tasked with figuring out how to win back Pakatan-held states. Presidents of UMNO's largest partners, MCA & MIC, have no say in this appointment and no role in this significant task. This hints that UMNO is showing their political preferences and signifies that they wish to have direct control over their partner's party.
OTK is true to his word and revelations of gross financial impropriety begin to surface. The PAC takes a lackadaisical attitude towards the biggest billion-ringgit scandal in the country's history. The PWC audit report is blocked from being released for months.
CSL is called up to the MCA disciplinary board regarding his sex DVD. This is seen as OTK's check on CSL's prominence among UMNO puppetmasters.
Instead of being afraid or repentant, the PKFZ culprits begin a mudslinging fight with allegations against OTK of their own.
OTK is left to defend himself as UMNO steps back and leaves OTK to the wolves. This is a hatchet job if ever I've seen one.
OTK lashes out at a press conference, saying that powerful "outside parties" have infiltrated MCA and were trying to topple him by hook or by crook.
Syed Akbar Ali, prominent UMNO blogger, openly reveals a strategy of UMNO abandoning its non-Malay political partners and going for complete Malay racial hegemony with token non-Malay representation.
OTK is continues to be fiercely attacked in the press by the culprits being investigated.
OTK rallies his troops to support him. Press conferences and Star coverage galore.
Muhyiddin calls for the warring parties to keep it quiet.
OTK sues Tiong King Sing for RM500million for his allegations.
CSL-aligned MCA division heads openly call for Ong's immediate suspension. This story is completely ignored by the Star, MCA's mouthpiece.
The PAC announces that it sees nothing wrong in KDSB's claims, in stark contrast to Lee Hwa Beng's revelations.
The next day, CSL is sacked from MCA. The Star runs the story that CSL accepts the disciplinary board's decision. However, the Malaysian Insider paints a completely different picture, where CSL calls for his "comrades" to "stand up and unite to save the party." Speculation is rife that an EGM will be called to expel OTK as President and install CSL instead.
My take:
Since Najib is not above coup-de-tat's, it's not unlikely that his proxy CSL will do a Perak in MCA. The UMNO-controlled courts and ROS will ratify CSL's coup. UMNO will again have their obedient little Pekinese lapdog.
MCA is in a real damned if you do and damned if you don't situation.
If OTK does the right thing to expose the entire PKFZ fiasco, he may win back some voter support but UMNO will surely finish him and install their proxy. This would make MCA a mere UMNO puppet again - the very thing that voters rejected them for and will reject them again.
If OTK capitulates and follows UMNO's orders to cover up the PKFZ scandal, he may survive in the MCA but this would make MCA a mere UMNO puppet - AGAIN.
If MCA were to survive as a whole, the only way would be for them to leave UMNO NOW and strike out on their own because it's obvious that their present disunity is made worse by the proxy war between MCA and UMNO warlords.
UMNO has already embarked on their strategy of ultra-right wing racial hegemony. They may need a puppet for the moment. But in the long run, how would UMNO get a proxy that nobody supports elected?
In any case, MCA is as good as dead already!
Showing posts with label pkfz. Show all posts
Showing posts with label pkfz. Show all posts
Thursday, August 27, 2009
Thursday, August 13, 2009
Which Is More Likely?
I had written a couple of articles in the past couple of days about the UMNO-MCA rift, that looked pretty irreconciliable. It was just a matter of whether the MCA had the balls to stand up to the bully (they'd better if they want to salvage any pretense of representing the Chinese).
The first time i put forward this theory was in an article on the HartalMSM blog. Then I followed up with yesterday's post with various quotes from the MSM which pointed to this complete breakdown in cooperation.
Today's news however was a treasure trove of evidence that it was game over for the BN!
FIRST: The UMNO AG openly saying that the MCA's past Transport Ministers' letters of assurance were in fact Letters of Government Guarantee, despite the past and present Ministers' vehement denials. Hey if the AG says it is, what hope is there in the UMNO courts, huh?
So what this means is that if the PKFZ case really makes it to court, the MCA Transport Ministers will be in big doo doo!
Now, WHICH IS MORE LIKELY?
A. The case will really make it to court and the MCA Transport Ministers heads will roll.
B. The case won't actually result in the prosecution of the MCA top dogs, but their image will be forever destroyed and they can never face Malaysian Chinese again.
My guess?
"A" is not very feasible, I think. A cornered dog, even if it is a running dog, is dangerous. If the MCA top dogs were going to be prosecuted, it might just push the other top dogs over the edge and they MIGHT actually find the nuts to go down fighting. Now, I'm sure the MCA has plenty of dirt on UMNO flers. If I were UMNO, I won't push my luck that far!
"B" is more likely. It's clear that UMNO doesn't give a shit about MCA, and more so in recent months than usual. Coupled with the Utusan attacks, the PKFZ scandal blowup, and UMNO's abandonment all pretense of cooperating with MCA - this would give the theory that UMNO is going to let MCA bite the dust (and probably hurry them along the way) some credulity.
Why would UMNO abandon it's non-Malay partner of 60 years?
Simple - they are wooing PAS to form a Ketuanan Melayu govt are they not? If that's their goal, they wouldn't need the Chinese now, wouldn't they?
if it's really true - curtains for sure la the MCA!
THEN: Tiong King Sing revealing that Ong Tee Keat received private favours like rides on private jet and a RM10 million "loan". Now, these kinds of revelations don't just damage OTK, but also Tiong. It would mean that Tiong was offering favours and OTK was accepting. you can't prosecute one party and not the other right? So why did Tiong make such revelations so brazenly? Isn't he afraid of the consequences to himself?
Now, WHICH IS MORE LIKELY?
A. Tiong is thinking "if I'm going down, I'm taking him with me!"
B. Tiong's got a GET OUT OF JAIL FREE card on condition that he gets rid of OTK.
"A" is HIGHLY unlikely - because it has NEVER happened before in the entire history of mega scandals in Malaysia. Most of the people on the past who were unfortunate enough to take the fall normally drop out of the radar for a while then retire in style without rocking the boat.
That leaves option "B". This I think is a more believable outcome.
Let's recap. OTK was elected Prez of MCA and CSL Dep Prez. OTK became Transport Minister like all the MCA prez before him since decades ago, since that Ministry has always been reserved for the MCA Prez.
Then Najib announced his reforms. He wanted someone to liaise with all the BN parties in the Pakatan-held states. This was a specially created National-level BARISAN position tasked with turning the political tides. By all calculations, this was a BIG DEAL because this was not a MCA "reserve" position.
Who was chosen? Chua Soi Lek! Najib prefered the services of a sex dvd star to the Prez of the most senior party in the BN? Incredible!!
What a slap in the face for OTK - the message is crystal clear: the sex star is more important than the MCA prez!
So, with this in mind - is it likely that for some reason, Najib no longer sees OTK as useful. Is that also why OTK is left to fend for himself in the whole PKFZ scandal?
It would seem so.
So the writing is pretty clear on the wall - it's in BOLD and ITALICS and COLOURED RED.
The BN is finished.
Those of you who still think that the BN is the only viable government - please wake up!!
The first time i put forward this theory was in an article on the HartalMSM blog. Then I followed up with yesterday's post with various quotes from the MSM which pointed to this complete breakdown in cooperation.
Today's news however was a treasure trove of evidence that it was game over for the BN!
FIRST: The UMNO AG openly saying that the MCA's past Transport Ministers' letters of assurance were in fact Letters of Government Guarantee, despite the past and present Ministers' vehement denials. Hey if the AG says it is, what hope is there in the UMNO courts, huh?
So what this means is that if the PKFZ case really makes it to court, the MCA Transport Ministers will be in big doo doo!
Now, WHICH IS MORE LIKELY?
A. The case will really make it to court and the MCA Transport Ministers heads will roll.
B. The case won't actually result in the prosecution of the MCA top dogs, but their image will be forever destroyed and they can never face Malaysian Chinese again.
My guess?
"A" is not very feasible, I think. A cornered dog, even if it is a running dog, is dangerous. If the MCA top dogs were going to be prosecuted, it might just push the other top dogs over the edge and they MIGHT actually find the nuts to go down fighting. Now, I'm sure the MCA has plenty of dirt on UMNO flers. If I were UMNO, I won't push my luck that far!
"B" is more likely. It's clear that UMNO doesn't give a shit about MCA, and more so in recent months than usual. Coupled with the Utusan attacks, the PKFZ scandal blowup, and UMNO's abandonment all pretense of cooperating with MCA - this would give the theory that UMNO is going to let MCA bite the dust (and probably hurry them along the way) some credulity.
Why would UMNO abandon it's non-Malay partner of 60 years?
Simple - they are wooing PAS to form a Ketuanan Melayu govt are they not? If that's their goal, they wouldn't need the Chinese now, wouldn't they?
if it's really true - curtains for sure la the MCA!
THEN: Tiong King Sing revealing that Ong Tee Keat received private favours like rides on private jet and a RM10 million "loan". Now, these kinds of revelations don't just damage OTK, but also Tiong. It would mean that Tiong was offering favours and OTK was accepting. you can't prosecute one party and not the other right? So why did Tiong make such revelations so brazenly? Isn't he afraid of the consequences to himself?
Now, WHICH IS MORE LIKELY?
A. Tiong is thinking "if I'm going down, I'm taking him with me!"
B. Tiong's got a GET OUT OF JAIL FREE card on condition that he gets rid of OTK.
"A" is HIGHLY unlikely - because it has NEVER happened before in the entire history of mega scandals in Malaysia. Most of the people on the past who were unfortunate enough to take the fall normally drop out of the radar for a while then retire in style without rocking the boat.
That leaves option "B". This I think is a more believable outcome.
Let's recap. OTK was elected Prez of MCA and CSL Dep Prez. OTK became Transport Minister like all the MCA prez before him since decades ago, since that Ministry has always been reserved for the MCA Prez.
Then Najib announced his reforms. He wanted someone to liaise with all the BN parties in the Pakatan-held states. This was a specially created National-level BARISAN position tasked with turning the political tides. By all calculations, this was a BIG DEAL because this was not a MCA "reserve" position.
Who was chosen? Chua Soi Lek! Najib prefered the services of a sex dvd star to the Prez of the most senior party in the BN? Incredible!!
What a slap in the face for OTK - the message is crystal clear: the sex star is more important than the MCA prez!
So, with this in mind - is it likely that for some reason, Najib no longer sees OTK as useful. Is that also why OTK is left to fend for himself in the whole PKFZ scandal?
It would seem so.
So the writing is pretty clear on the wall - it's in BOLD and ITALICS and COLOURED RED.
The BN is finished.
Those of you who still think that the BN is the only viable government - please wake up!!
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